Home page logo
/

nanog logo nanog mailing list archives

Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM
From: staticsafe <me () staticsafe ca>
Date: Tue, 23 Apr 2013 18:36:20 -0400

On 4/23/2013 18:04, Leo Bicknell wrote:
In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400,
Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:

http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf

tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in
August this year.

Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005: 
https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf

 I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4
June 2013".

Those of us who paid attention are well prepared.

tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were
remarkably close to the reality 8 years later.

On that note, something Mr. Huston wrote more recently:

"A Primer on IPv4, IPv6 and Transition"
http://www.potaroo.net/ispcol/2013-04/primer.html

Discussion:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5586519

-- 
staticsafe
O< ascii ribbon campaign - stop html mail - www.asciiribbon.org
Please don't top post - http://goo.gl/YrmAb
Don't CC me! I'm subscribed to whatever list I just posted on.


  By Date           By Thread  

Current thread:
[ Nmap | Sec Tools | Mailing Lists | Site News | About/Contact | Advertising | Privacy ]
AlienVault