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Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM
From: Todd Underwood <toddunder () gmail com>
Date: Wed, 24 Apr 2013 07:55:58 -0700

this is still my favorite post on this subject:



On Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 3:36 PM, staticsafe <me () staticsafe ca> wrote:

On 4/23/2013 18:04, Leo Bicknell wrote:
In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400,
Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:


tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in
August this year.

Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005:


 I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4
June 2013".

Those of us who paid attention are well prepared.

tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were
remarkably close to the reality 8 years later.

On that note, something Mr. Huston wrote more recently:

"A Primer on IPv4, IPv6 and Transition"


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