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Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM
From: Michael Hallgren <m.hallgren () free fr>
Date: Wed, 24 Apr 2013 23:12:43 +0200

Le 24/04/2013 21:35, Lee Howard a écrit :

On 4/24/13 2:45 PM, "ML" <ml () kenweb org> wrote:

On 4/23/2013 5:41 PM, Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:

http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf

tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in August this
year.

Are you ready?


Where do the startup ISPs whom didn't qualify for PI IPv4 in the past
fit into a post-run out world where they would qualify?
I am speaking in generics but also about a real ISP that is in this
situation today. 

In my example This ISP could show need for a /22 but wasn't multihoming
at the time and likely will not until after run-out.
How does such an ISP begin to address their backbone and customers
facing interfaces without tying themselves to an ISP and their PA space?

I don't imagine they will be open to paying extortion prices for IPs
that other people never bothered to use.

Once ARIN is unable to meet an organization's justified need, they can't
get addresses from ARIN.  They can beg, borrow or buy addresses from
someone else.  They can try AfriNIC's or LACNIC's policies.  They can do
CGN.  They can do IPv6.

Might be that IPv6would be their currently best bet... ;)
mh


Lee






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