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Ornstein Column in Roll Call


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Fri, 22 Apr 2005 03:43:23 -0400

I am off to Asia in mid-June and will see myself. djf


------ Forwarded Message
From: clark johnson <clarkjohnson () cpinternet com>
Date: Thu, 21 Apr 2005 20:24:57 -0500
To: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Subject: Fwd: RE: Ornstein Column in Roll Call

Dave-

Did you see this?


 Bad Policy Choices Are Worrisome for U.S. Economy's Future

 April 20, 2005
 By Norman Ornstein,
 Roll Call Contributing Writer

 I recently returned from nearly two weeks in Asia, interacting with
 people from across the continent at a conference in Cambodia and
 traveling to Vietnam and other places in the region. The vibrancy in
 Asia is staggering, as is the combination of rising nationalism and a
 growing sense of continental identity.

 But it is Asia's economic dynamism that stands out the most. Of course,
 Americans feel the results of that economic dynamism daily, in rising
 gasoline prices driven in part by the insatiable demand for energy in
 China and India. And the impact is lurking in another arena - the Asian
 central banks that hold three-fourths of the dollars outstanding,
 financing our budget and trade deficits and maintaining some
 considerable control over our economic well-being.

 It is not just India and China that represent the future of Asian growth
 and power. Japan seems finally to have turned a corner after a decade of
 stagnation, although it still faces relatively modest economic growth.
 Other countries have major assets and robust futures as well, including
 Vietnam, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore. All are expanding their
 economic bases; all are turning out impressive numbers of scientists and
 engineers to take advantage of the cutting-edge technologies that will
 help drive the economies of the future.

 Unlike many observers, I did not come back to the United States
 believing that China will leave us in the dust, or that the American
 economy faces a bleak future. We have heard that story before - about
 Japan, just to name one rival - and it has proved false. The United
 States has strengths - in infrastructure, culture, education, freedom,
 rule of law, environmental protection, size and heterogeneity - that no
 one else can match or approach.

 But I am growing increasingly alarmed, less because of the dynamism in
 Asia and more because of our blindness and obtuseness when it comes to
 our crown jewel: our overwhelming lead in basic research and our
 position as home to the best scientists in the world.

 Basic research is the real building block of economic growth, and here
 we have had the franchise; just look at the number of Nobel Prize
 winners from the United States compared to the rest of the world
 combined. Our academic institutions and research labs have been magnets
 attracting, and often keeping, the best and the brightest. Our academic
 openness and our culture of freedom have encouraged good research and
 challenges to orthodoxy. Our politicians have recognized that most basic
 research has to be funded by the government because there is scant
 short-term economic benefit for most businesses to do it themselves.

 But now, in a variety of ways, we are frittering away this asset, and
 for no good reason. Start with the federal budget. Basic research has
 been concentrated in a few key institutions: the National Institutes of
 Health, the National Science Foundation, the National Institute of
 Standards and Technology, and the Defense Advanced Research Projects
 Agency at the Pentagon. After a series of pledges to double the NIH
 budget and then keep it on a growth path, NIH has stagnated. Budget
 growth for next year is one-half of 1 percent, which will be below
 inflation for the first time since the 1980s, at a time when the need
 for more biomedical research is obvious.

 The NSF budget is slated to grow by 2 percent, leaving it $3 billion
 below the funding level Congress promised in 2002. At NIST, the Bush
 administration is trying to eliminate the Advanced Technology Program
 and to slash the Manufacturing Extension Partnership by 57 percent. At
 DARPA, which originated the Internet but where computer science research
 has been flat for several years, the money going to university
 researchers has fallen precipitously, along with a larger focus on
 applied research for the here and now.

 To quote my colleague, former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), this set of
 budget priorities is insane. But the budget is only a part of it. Our
 visa policies, understandable as they are after Sept. 11, 2001, are
 keeping out the best and brightest foreign students and driving out some
 of the best international scholars, leading other countries, such as
 Australia, France and Germany, to seize the opportunity to enhance their
 own research capabilities.

 Our decisions to curtail much research on stem cells is creating
 opportunities elsewhere: Some of our best scientists are headed for
 Singapore. The new NIH ethics rules are driving out top scientists and
 causing others to reconsider their willingness to go to NIH.

 A half-century ago, we could count on the private sector to finance
 crown jewels like Bell Labs and do a great deal of the basic research
 that made America the world's leader. No more. To be sure, Silicon
 Valley still steps up to the plate, and our pharmaceutical industry does
 nearly all the cutting-edge drug research for the world. But much of the
 information-technology and drug research has been heavily subsidized by
 the federal government. And other heavy-handed government policies may
 drain pharmaceutical company revenues enough to cut their research and
 development.

 It is gut check time. The foolish fiscal policies that keep big
 entitlements off the table, won't consider revenues along with spending,
 and have turned the one-sixth of the budget that is discretionary into a
 vicious, zero-sum game, are truly eating our seed corn in this critical
 area. Somebody needs to get the White House to wake up, and Congress to
 understand what it is mindlessly doing.

 Norman Ornstein is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise
 Institute.

 Copyright 2005 (c) Roll Call Inc. All rights reserved.


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