Re Schneier, "American Elections Will Be Hacked" (New York Times, Nov. 9, 2016)

["Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>]

Begin forwarded message:

> From: Rich Kulawiec <rsk () gsp org>
> Date: November 10, 2016 at 3:27:01 PM EST
> To: dave () farber net
> Subject: Re: [IP] Schneier, "American Elections Will Be Hacked" (New York Times, Nov. 9, 2016)
>
> (For IP, if you wish)
>
>
> With all deference to Schneier, who wrote what I still think is the
> definitive comment on election hacking in 2004 [1] this just isn't
> necessary.  There are easier, better, cheaper ways available to those
> who wish to manipulate election outcomes.
>
> The most effective of those appears to be the institution of "solutions"
> to a nearly-nonexistent problem: voter fraud.  Here's why I say it's
> nearly non-existent:
>
>    A comprehensive investigation of voter impersonation finds 31 credible incidents out of one billion ballots cast
>    
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2014/08/06/a-comprehensive-investigation-of-voter-impersonation-finds-31-credible-incidents-out-of-one-billion-ballots-cast/
>
> In Wisconsin, the presidential race was decided by about 27,000 votes.
> Meanwhile, 300,000 people were turned away from the polls due to the
> much more restrictive voter ID laws put in place since the last cycle.
> Of course we do not know how those 300K people would have voted, but
> when the number of people disenfranchised is an order of magnitude more
> than the deciding margin, democracy has been badly undercut without any
> need to resort to hacking.
>
> ---rsk
>
> [1] It's here:
>
>    Stealing an Election, April 15, 2004
>    https://www.schneier.com/crypto-gram/archives/2004/0415.html#4



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