RE: Big day for IPv6 - 1% native penetration

["Tony Hain" <alh-ietf () tndh net>]

Mike Jones wrote:
> On 20 November 2012 16:05, Patrick W. Gilmore <patrick () ianai net> wrote:
> > On Nov 20, 2012, at 08:45 , Owen DeLong <owen () delong com> wrote:
> >
> > > It is entirely possible that Google's numbers are artificially low
> > > for a number of reasons.
> >
> > AMS-IX publishes stats too:
> >         <https://stats.ams-ix.net/sflow/>
> >
> > This is probably a better view of overall percentage on the Internet than a
> specific company's content.  It shows order of 0.5%.
> > Why do you think Google's numbers are lower than the real total?
>
> They are also different stats which is why they give such different numbers.
>
> In a theoretical world with evenly distributed traffic patterns if 1% of users
> were IPv6 enabled it would require 100% of content to be IPv6 enabled
> before your traffic stats would show 1% of traffic going over IPv6.
>
> If these figures are representative (google saying 1% of users and AMSIX
> saying 0.5% of traffic) then it would indicate that dual stacked users can push
> ~50% of their traffic over IPv6. If this is even close to reality then that would
> be quite an achievement.

If you assume that Youtube/Facebook/Netflix are 50% of the overall traffic, why wouldn't a dual stacked end point have 
half of its traffic as IPv6 after June???

Tony