nanog mailing list archives

Re: IPv6 native percentage (end user perspective)


From: Robert Kisteleki via NANOG <nanog () lists nanog org>
Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2025 10:57:07 +0200

I think what we need is for some big tech companies to sign a contract
with each other that they start dropping IPv4 at their network edge in
2035 or so.  This would then signal the market that you're going to
need to deploy IPv6 and that you can do IPv6 only, because IPv4 only
networks will have to figure out translation in their edges. And I
think they should be motivated to do this, to get rid of the
requirement of purchasing IPv4 addresses. However they probably will
always be able to sink that cost in their products, and the real
companies suffering from access to IPv4 spaces are competitors who
never start. So it might be a good anti-competitive strategy to keep
the IPv4 dream alive.


 I'm reasonably sure that those big tech companies are (closely) tracking
their numbers, and know pretty accurately how much traffic (direct
correlation: revenue) they would lose if they switched to v6 only. Ideally
with projections on how much that loss may be in 2030, 2035, ... (with lots
of assumptions, sure).

What would possibly make them decide to drop 5% or 1% or 0.5% or even 0.1%
of their potential customers (and revenue) at that time "for the good of
the internet"?

Robert
_______________________________________________
NANOG mailing list 
https://lists.nanog.org/archives/list/nanog () lists nanog org/message/KY3QHZYJJ3EUB7GPU6SYT2MVXPBGYAOV/


Current thread: